Selected Issues Papers

Estimating Potential Output in Niger: Niger

By Guy Morel Kossivi Amouzou Agbe

April 18, 2025

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Format: Chicago

Guy Morel Kossivi Amouzou Agbe. "Estimating Potential Output in Niger: Niger", Selected Issues Papers 2025, 041 (2025), accessed April 19, 2025, https://doi.org/10.5089/9798229006507.018

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Summary

Potential growth in Niger is estimated at around 6 percent with a structurally significant contribution of labor and peaks of growth associated with higher investment in physical capital. Growth in Niger is, however, constrained by weak productivity, limited structural transformation, and inadequate economic diversification, with downside risks stemming mainly from regional insecurity and adverse climate shocks. Key factors that could boost economic growth in Niger include investment in human capital, the development of the extractive sector and agro-industrial value chains and the diffusion of digital technologies.

Subject: Agricultural sector, Climate change, Economic sectors, Environment, Human capital, Labor, Natural disasters, Oil production, Output gap, Potential output, Production, Productivity, Total factor productivity

Keywords: Agricultural sector, Climate change, Economic Growth, Education, Growth decomposition, Human capital, Natural disasters, Oil production, Output gap, Output gap, Population and demographics, Potential output, Potential output, Production function, Productivity, Statistical filters, Total factor productivity

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