IMF Staff Country Reports

Guinea-Bissau: 2025 Article IV Consultation, Eighth Review Under the Extended Credit Facility, Requests for Rephasing of Access, Extension of the Arrangement, Waivers of Nonobservance of Performance Criteria, Modification of Performance Criteria, and Financing Assurances Review-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Guinea-Bissau

July 7, 2025

Download PDF More Formats on IMF eLibrary Order a Print Copy
More formats on IMF eLibrary Order a Print Copy

Preview Citation

Format: Chicago

International Monetary Fund. African Dept. "Guinea-Bissau: 2025 Article IV Consultation, Eighth Review Under the Extended Credit Facility, Requests for Rephasing of Access, Extension of the Arrangement, Waivers of Nonobservance of Performance Criteria, Modification of Performance Criteria, and Financing Assurances Review-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Guinea-Bissau", IMF Staff Country Reports 2025, 167 (2025), accessed July 8, 2025, https://doi.org/10.5089/9798229016094.002

Export Citation

  • ProCite
  • RefWorks
  • Reference Manager
  • BibTex
  • Zotero
  • EndNote

Summary

Since the last Article IV of June 2022, economic growth has been resilient and the authorities have made significant progress in infrastructure development. The economic outlook for 2025 is positive supported by high international prices of cashew nuts and strong public and private investments. However, risks are on the downside and the country remains at high risk of debt distress. The presidential and legislative elections are scheduled for November 23, 2025, and the social situation remains relatively calm. Direct effects to Guinea Bissau from the elevated global trade uncertainty are relatively low, as prices of cashew nuts, which account for over 90 percent of exports, have so far not been adversely affected by recent global events and the country is benefiting from lower global fuel prices.

Subject: Arrears, Debt service, Debt sustainability, Debt sustainability analysis, Expenditure, Exports, External debt, Fiscal consolidation, Fiscal policy, International trade, Public debt, Revenue administration

Keywords: Arrears, Debt service, Debt sustainability, Debt sustainability analysis, Exports, Fiscal consolidation, Government debt management

Publication Details

You May Also Be Interested In...

Benchmarking Public Spending Efficiency in Education, Health, and Infrastructure in Ireland

July 8, 2025

Geoeconomic Fragmentation: Implications for Ireland

July 8, 2025

Guinea-Bissau: Selected Issues

July 7, 2025

Considerations for a Stronger Fiscal Framework in Ireland

July 7, 2025