IMF Staff Country Reports

Dominica: 2025 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; and Staff Report

June 12, 2025

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International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. "Dominica: 2025 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; and Staff Report", IMF Staff Country Reports 2025, 130 (2025), accessed June 14, 2025, https://doi.org/10.5089/9798229013840.002

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Summary

Dominica is a small developing state (SDS) facing large economic imbalances, natural disasters (NDs), and substantial development needs amid slowing potential growth. Its narrow economic base (ecotourism and agriculture) with limited downstream integration leaves it exposed to external shocks, which have pushed debt well above the regional 60 percent of GDP threshold, heightening debt distress risks. The country is highly reliant citizenship-by-investment (CBI) flows—that are susceptible to abrupt halts from evolving third-party security concerns— for reconstruction and strategic investment, which has raised the current account deficit during the building phase. With no independent monetary policy, fiscal policy is the primary policy tool, but weak institutional capacity hampers policy formulation, monitoring, and execution.

Subject: Credit bureaus, Debt sustainability, Debt sustainability analysis, Economic sectors, Expenditure, External debt, Financial markets, Fiscal policy, Fiscal stance, Public debt, Revenue administration, Tourism

Keywords: Credit bureaus, Debt sustainability, Debt sustainability analysis, Fiscal stance, Public Financial Management, Total factor productivity, Tourism

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